Policy & Grants  ·  Issue 13  ·  Tuesday 20 October 2026

Watts Happening

 

The UK energy newsletter that doesn't work for the industry

The Spark

In one of Ofgem's own worked examples, a household that switches supplier after a sharp fall in wholesale prices saves £151. A new charge takes £134 of it.

The charge is the Market Stabilisation Charge, and Ofgem proposed switching it back on last Friday. The £134 comes from its “longer price peak” illustration. In the main scenario, the charge takes £65.

Either way, the money moves from the person who switches to the supplier they left. Ofgem's paperwork says so.

This Week in Watts

Ofgem's switching charge is back. Last time it applied in 64 weeks out of 103.

When a household leaves a supplier, the new supplier pays the old one to cover part of the energy already bought for that customer. The charge kicks in once wholesale prices fall 10%, and covers 85% of the loss beyond that. Ofgem expects to decide in mid-November and to keep it on, likely until at least March.

Suppliers buy energy months ahead for customers on the cap. If prices fall sharply and those customers leave, the supplier sells that energy back at a loss. Average supplier profit was £5 per customer in 2025, against a £46 profit allowance in the current cap. Martin Lewis has called the charge a form of switching penalty. On Ofgem's figures, suppliers are not sitting on a cushion.

Ofgem's own draft impact assessment sets out who pays. Suppliers are expected to build the charge into their fixed tariff prices, and in aggregate, Ofgem says, suppliers would benefit. It calls the charge effectively a transfer between engaged consumers and suppliers, and likens it to an exit fee.

What a switcher keeps

Wholesale saving of £151 per dual fuel customer, split between the charge and what the switcher keeps, in Ofgem's illustration

Main scenario

   

Charge £65  ·  Keeps £86

Longer price peak

   

Charge £134  ·  Keeps £17

■ Charge paid to the old supplier   ■ Saving the switcher keeps. Source: Ofgem consultation, Table 2.

Ofgem's reassurance is that the last charge involved payments of over £80m across two years, under £2 per domestic consumer per year. That average spreads the cost across every household. The cost landed on switchers, through the price of their fixes, and the consultation does not say what that came to per switcher.

Ofgem says the charge only bites when prices fall sharply. The last one ran for 103 weeks to March 2024, and its dashboard shows it triggered in 64 of them, peaking at £73.84 per megawatt hour on electricity in January 2023. That was a long slide from record prices, exactly when it is designed to bite. Wholesale prices today are about 150% above pre-conflict levels.

Ofgem also decided the proposal was not “important” under the Utilities Act, the test that requires a full impact assessment, so a charge whose cost falls on one group of customers got a short draft assessment instead.

A charge built for falling prices was triggered in most weeks last time. The cost lands on the people who shop around.

The Bill Buster

Fixing this winter? Check who you fix with

The charge applies when you change supplier, whatever tariff you leave. In Ofgem's modelling, a customer who takes a new fix with their current supplier triggers no charge.

The charge is not switched on yet. Once it is, Ofgem expects suppliers to price it into fixes, and wants at least a working day's notice so they can re-price. It says fixes last time were priced slightly higher. Get your current supplier's best fix and a switching quote side by side before the mid-November decision.

Anyone can respond to the consultation by 29 October, at [email protected].

→ Ask: is this fix with my current supplier, or a new one?

Watts on the Market

Unsold this week  ·  Reader resource

The Cost of Inaction calculator shows the price of staying put: your energy costs run forward 25 years on your own bill and property type. No installer at the end of it.

→ Run your 25-year number

Quick Watts

Heating oil

The government will regulate the heating oil market for the first time, on the CMA's advice. The CMA found 1,700 households were owed compensation after suppliers cancelled orders.

(DESNZ, 13 October 2026)

Grid

NESO called for emergency help twice in a week. On the Monday, South East transmission infrastructure failed to return to service and NESO drew 1,200MW over an interconnector. Britain had the generation, but the network could not get it to London.

(NESO, 14 October 2026)

Credit balances

Suppliers held £2.9bn of customer credit at the end of June, £200m more than a year earlier. The average household in credit held £182, up from £178.

(Ofgem, 5 October 2026)

Business standing charges

Ofgem is minded to reject DCP 412, which would move businesses with large connections but low use into a lower fixed-charge band, spreading the cost across other users. Responses close 11 December.

(Ofgem, 16 October 2026)

From the archive

January 2027 price cap forecasts compared, and who gains from each